A couple of fantastic days racing coming up!
Friday 18th November
Haydock
12.50
First up and I will take Comedy Act for up and coming trainer David O'Meara. Comedy Act will apreciate the decent going and has performed creditably in his recent flat outings. His handicap rating of 119 has primarily been set using soft ground form and I believe he is well in returning on a sound surface. Indeed his only performance over hurdles on his favoured sound surface coinciding with being tried at a trip too far (2m 3f). Everything looks set for a big run and Denis O'Regan looks to be a good suit for the horse.
2pts EW 12/1 Betfred, Stan James
1.20
This looks a straightforward opportunity for Toubab. He travelled and jumped well at Cheltenham last month beofre lacking for fitness at the business end. His big rival on paper is Nadiya De La Vega who I have flagged up on here before. N D L V really needs a bit of cut to be seen at his best and I would be very suprised if he was up to beating Toubab on a sound surface. Doctor David is a proven class act but is sure to need this after the best part of two years on the sidelines.
5pts WIN 6/5 Stan James
Ascot
1.00
This looks a shoe in for Simonsig from the Henderson yard and instead I will take a bit of a punt on Busby Berkeley from the Martin Keighley yard to run into a place. His form to date has been uninspiring - two bumper runs where he was beaten by a combined 107 lengths! His hurdles run was slightly more encouraging and with the extra distance today sure to help i think he can sneak into a place at a good price.
1pt EW 25/1 Betfair
2.45
This looks a competitive heat but I am going to stick my neck out and give Court in Session the vote. I think it is informative that Martin Keighley sends him out again just five days after he went off way to fast when finishing a well beaten 4th to Al Ferof. The trip and ground look more in his favour and his jumping was very good as you might expect of multiple point winner. The danger is probably Restezen D'armour who is another favourite from previous posts! He is starting to show the ability that I flagged up last season but I think this may prove a touch hot.
2pts EW 6/1 VC bet
Happy Punting!
Thursday, 17 November 2011
Saturday, 19 February 2011
Saturday Tips
First, lets start with yesterdays tips. We had a good performance from Notus de la Tour who finished a close third and gave us a good e/w return. Cappagh was disappointing having been backed into a crazy 7/4! See you Jack just found the going to tough and although a slightly better run - he was looked after by Andy Thornton when finding the going tough and will stay well handicapped to win with conditions more in his favour. I don't think Fakenham will be his course and it might be back to Huntingdon in the future.
onto todays tips.............................
Ascot 1.20
I fancy the likely testing conditions will be more in the favour of TORNADO BOB than his main market rivals and I think this may be the deciding factor. Tornado Bob has won his last two hurdle starts well on soft and heavy ground and should find no terrors in todays ground. He seems to be learning how to settle and should be able to take this on his way to better things.
Recommended bet
3pts win Tornado Bob 13/8 Bet 365
Ascot 3.35
LIKE MINDED travelled weel for a long way in the Lanzarote before weakening out of things when looking likely to be involved in the finish. It was his first run for well over a year and I expect that to have put him right for todays race. He has only had the three starts over hurdles and is one of only a couple that may be well handicapped. The ultra tough Lough Derg will once again make sure it is an end to end gallop and this should suit my fancy.
Recommended bet
3pts win Like Minded 17/2 Stan James
Wincanton 3.10
This can go the way of PICTS HILL from the in-form Anthony Honeyball yard. He ran well when finishing third behind Songe at Huntigdon in October. That was his first run for more than six months and today he should be ready to fire. He has previously won over course and distance and the ground conditions should prove ideal. He looks well handicapped with excuses for a couple of his defeats over the past year and his current rating of 122 looks a good 7l-10l bs shy of what he is still capable of.
Recommended bet
2pts e/w Picts Hill 13/2 Betfred
I also recommend a 2pt e/w Patent on the above three horses.
Happy Punting!
onto todays tips.............................
Ascot 1.20
I fancy the likely testing conditions will be more in the favour of TORNADO BOB than his main market rivals and I think this may be the deciding factor. Tornado Bob has won his last two hurdle starts well on soft and heavy ground and should find no terrors in todays ground. He seems to be learning how to settle and should be able to take this on his way to better things.
Recommended bet
3pts win Tornado Bob 13/8 Bet 365
Ascot 3.35
LIKE MINDED travelled weel for a long way in the Lanzarote before weakening out of things when looking likely to be involved in the finish. It was his first run for well over a year and I expect that to have put him right for todays race. He has only had the three starts over hurdles and is one of only a couple that may be well handicapped. The ultra tough Lough Derg will once again make sure it is an end to end gallop and this should suit my fancy.
Recommended bet
3pts win Like Minded 17/2 Stan James
Wincanton 3.10
This can go the way of PICTS HILL from the in-form Anthony Honeyball yard. He ran well when finishing third behind Songe at Huntigdon in October. That was his first run for more than six months and today he should be ready to fire. He has previously won over course and distance and the ground conditions should prove ideal. He looks well handicapped with excuses for a couple of his defeats over the past year and his current rating of 122 looks a good 7l-10l bs shy of what he is still capable of.
Recommended bet
2pts e/w Picts Hill 13/2 Betfred
I also recommend a 2pt e/w Patent on the above three horses.
Happy Punting!
Thursday, 17 February 2011
Results and Tomorrows tips!
Sericina was very impressive in winning the Hunter Chase at Ffos Las. She will improve for the stiffer test and the extra couple of furlongs at Cheltenham and I expect a BIG run. The best price for the Foxhunters is now 16/1 and so those who got the 20's have stolen a bit!
Peddlars Cross was fairly impressive and I wouldn't be concerned that Jason Maguire gave him a couple of reminders up the straight. Given that this was a prep against lesser horses and according to his trainer he wasn't looking his best I would be pleased with the run. The Champion Hurdle could turn out to be the race of the festival!
Newbury
I will stick with my selections from the planned meeting on Saturday. (Cappagh and Notus de la Tour)
Fakenham 3.45
I fancy SEE YOU JACK for Andrew Thornton and Caroline Bailey to take this Novices handicap hurdle. He ran a cracker to be second to Mossley at Huntingdon in October before taking a heavy fall next time. He has disappointed twice since but on both occasions the ground was very testing. I expect to see a much better effort on a sounder surface with the extra distance looking to be in his favour. I would suggest he has Wistow to beat.
Recommended bet
2pts e/w See you Jack 14/1
Peddlars Cross was fairly impressive and I wouldn't be concerned that Jason Maguire gave him a couple of reminders up the straight. Given that this was a prep against lesser horses and according to his trainer he wasn't looking his best I would be pleased with the run. The Champion Hurdle could turn out to be the race of the festival!
Newbury
I will stick with my selections from the planned meeting on Saturday. (Cappagh and Notus de la Tour)
Fakenham 3.45
I fancy SEE YOU JACK for Andrew Thornton and Caroline Bailey to take this Novices handicap hurdle. He ran a cracker to be second to Mossley at Huntingdon in October before taking a heavy fall next time. He has disappointed twice since but on both occasions the ground was very testing. I expect to see a much better effort on a sounder surface with the extra distance looking to be in his favour. I would suggest he has Wistow to beat.
Recommended bet
2pts e/w See you Jack 14/1
Wednesday, 16 February 2011
Big Day!
Its a big day for Peddlars Cross and Donald McCain tomorrow (Thursday). He looks a class above his rivals and if all goes smoothly will win head in chest BUT it was this race last year that saw Zaynar beaten at 1/14 so it might not be a walk in the park. The one to give him most to think about may be Orsippus as likely second fav Bygones of Brid looks to have gone over the top.
Ffos Las 2.00
This should go the way of INVICTUS who would have won last time out at Leicester and the form of that race has already been franked. Trip and the conditions will not be a concern and I take him to win this before going onto bigger and better things.
Recommended bet
3pts win Invictus 5/2 Betfair
Ffos Las 4.15
This shapes like a cracking Hunter Chase with several of these likely to reoppose in the Foxhunters at Cheltenham. I have to stick with my Cheltenham fancy SERICINA who has looked super impressive in points and won her hunter well at Taunton last year. She appears to need a good test and the likely testing ground should prove in her favour. I fancy Moncadou will follow the tip home.
Recommended bet
3pts win Sericina 4/1
3pts e/w Sericina Cheltenham Foxhunters Paddy Power/Betfred 20/1
Kelso 1.40
I have plumped for MUSIC OF THE MOOR who was very impressive on debut in heavy ground at Sandown. That race was won in a good time considering the conditions and he looks to have the class that most in this field are lacking. I think the experience gained from that run will stand him in good stead against a coupe of useful types in the bumper field (Priceless Art and Jukebox Melody). Music of the Moor's last run can be ignored as the saddle slipped and he was pulled up early on.
Recommended bet
5pts win Music of the Moor 11/4 Betfair
Ffos Las 2.00
This should go the way of INVICTUS who would have won last time out at Leicester and the form of that race has already been franked. Trip and the conditions will not be a concern and I take him to win this before going onto bigger and better things.
Recommended bet
3pts win Invictus 5/2 Betfair
Ffos Las 4.15
This shapes like a cracking Hunter Chase with several of these likely to reoppose in the Foxhunters at Cheltenham. I have to stick with my Cheltenham fancy SERICINA who has looked super impressive in points and won her hunter well at Taunton last year. She appears to need a good test and the likely testing ground should prove in her favour. I fancy Moncadou will follow the tip home.
Recommended bet
3pts win Sericina 4/1
3pts e/w Sericina Cheltenham Foxhunters Paddy Power/Betfred 20/1
Kelso 1.40
I have plumped for MUSIC OF THE MOOR who was very impressive on debut in heavy ground at Sandown. That race was won in a good time considering the conditions and he looks to have the class that most in this field are lacking. I think the experience gained from that run will stand him in good stead against a coupe of useful types in the bumper field (Priceless Art and Jukebox Melody). Music of the Moor's last run can be ignored as the saddle slipped and he was pulled up early on.
Recommended bet
5pts win Music of the Moor 11/4 Betfair
Tuesday, 15 February 2011
Just the one winner today and tips for Wednesday
Dantes Storm couldn't have been anymore impressive in winning his hunter chase today and is now priced at 16/1 for the Foxhunters at Cheltenham. I'm not sure he will quite prove up to winning it but he may sneak into a place.
Leicester 3.10
TURTHEN looks to be in with agreat chance of upsetting the favourite Battlecry. I think Turthen will prove to strong in abattle up the straight and his jumping may prove to be the safer. He has run well in Hunter chases over the past couple of seasons and started out well with a good victory over Whizzaar at Wincanton. Although, Battlecry won his point easily this is a different proposition and given his poor level of form in his other recent runs I am happy to take him on.
Recommended Bet
5pts win Turthen 5/2
Leicester 3.10
TURTHEN looks to be in with agreat chance of upsetting the favourite Battlecry. I think Turthen will prove to strong in abattle up the straight and his jumping may prove to be the safer. He has run well in Hunter chases over the past couple of seasons and started out well with a good victory over Whizzaar at Wincanton. Although, Battlecry won his point easily this is a different proposition and given his poor level of form in his other recent runs I am happy to take him on.
Recommended Bet
5pts win Turthen 5/2
Monday, 14 February 2011
Tips for Tuesdays Racing!
Folkestone 3.30
A weak race even by Maiden standards and a chance is taken on O'MALLEYS OSCAR who ran a good race in his bumper debut. He ran an OK race over further at the track last time and I think the drop back will help as well as the added experience. It was also his first run since March last year so he should be spot on fitness wise. The jockey booking of Dennis O'Regan catches the eye and I expect a bold show.
Recommended Bet
5pts win O'Malleys Oscar 13/2 32RED
Folkestone 4.00
NOBUNAGA will take all the beating in this novice hurdle. He showed a good level of form on the flat and after disappointing on his debut over hurdles in Jan 2010. He was then off until last month when making a very impressive return when beating Araldur from the Alan King stable. That race seems to be working out and the time would indicate it wasn't a fluke. He is entered in the Triumph Hurdle and although he probably won't prove up to that level he wont need to be to win tomorrow. The attheraces forecast price is 11/4 but I would imagine he will open around 11/8 and be backed in to odds on.
Recommended bet
5pts win Nobunaga Best opening price
Folkestone 4.30
This looks to me a straightforward chance for DANTE'S STORM to put himself in the reckoning for the Foxhunters at Cheltenham come March. He is unbeaten in point to points and has also won at the course. Song of Songs will be popular but I cannot have a horse who struggled to stay past 2m 4f particularly given that they normally go off very quick in these Hunter chases. I expect the danger to be Snakebite with top female amateur Polly Gundry on board.
Recommended bet
10pts win Dante's Storm 11/8 Betfair
A weak race even by Maiden standards and a chance is taken on O'MALLEYS OSCAR who ran a good race in his bumper debut. He ran an OK race over further at the track last time and I think the drop back will help as well as the added experience. It was also his first run since March last year so he should be spot on fitness wise. The jockey booking of Dennis O'Regan catches the eye and I expect a bold show.
Recommended Bet
5pts win O'Malleys Oscar 13/2 32RED
Folkestone 4.00
NOBUNAGA will take all the beating in this novice hurdle. He showed a good level of form on the flat and after disappointing on his debut over hurdles in Jan 2010. He was then off until last month when making a very impressive return when beating Araldur from the Alan King stable. That race seems to be working out and the time would indicate it wasn't a fluke. He is entered in the Triumph Hurdle and although he probably won't prove up to that level he wont need to be to win tomorrow. The attheraces forecast price is 11/4 but I would imagine he will open around 11/8 and be backed in to odds on.
Recommended bet
5pts win Nobunaga Best opening price
Folkestone 4.30
This looks to me a straightforward chance for DANTE'S STORM to put himself in the reckoning for the Foxhunters at Cheltenham come March. He is unbeaten in point to points and has also won at the course. Song of Songs will be popular but I cannot have a horse who struggled to stay past 2m 4f particularly given that they normally go off very quick in these Hunter chases. I expect the danger to be Snakebite with top female amateur Polly Gundry on board.
Recommended bet
10pts win Dante's Storm 11/8 Betfair
Results from Last Week
Results for the previous week show us with a profit of 272.5 points. Thanks in the main part to the Lucky 15 (3 winners inc 8/1 Shot) and the max bet winning As de Fer!! Lets hope for another good week this week.
Todays two runners were disappointing so I will be looking to find some compensation tomorrow
Todays two runners were disappointing so I will be looking to find some compensation tomorrow
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