Thursday, 10 February 2011

So Close!

Todays Lucky 15 at Taunton was so nearly a big pay out! Three winners out of four could so easily have been the full set if young Conor o'Farrell had stayed on board when appearing to loose his iron after jumping the last comfortably in the lead. Still we showed a good profit so can't grumble too much!

Brampour was fairly impressive and will benefit from more of a test so I wouldn't rule out his chances for the Triumph nor would I rush to back him at the best available price of 10/1.

Anyway onto tomorrows racing.......................

Kempton 2.05
I fancy ZAZAMIX to make it career winnner number two thousand for trainer Nicky Henderson. In his last race over hurdles behind Mille Chief he looked for all the world that a step up in trip was needed. He has apparently schooled well over fences and although has a fair bit to find with American Triology from their hurdles form I think he will prove up to the task.

Recommended bet 2pts win

Kempton 2.35
This looks a good chance for AMAURY DE LUSIGNAN. With the expected improvement from his previous run I expect him to prove too strong for his rivals. He was running a good race on his debut under rules before tiring late on. He ran very free that day and if settling today should be involved particulalry as his pedigree and point to point form suggest this step up in trip will suit.

Recommended bet 2pts e/w

finally Kempton 4.20
I can't have the favourite Plein Pouvoir who undoubtedly in form just isn't the same horse on a sound surface. I don't think the step up in trip is in his favour either and have found one to beat him. The most likely winner is RAVETHEBRAVE who looks like he has conditions in his favour. He will be suited by the ground and the trip looks ideal with the likely strong pace sure to suit. I would take the 100/30 available tonight as I expect him to shorten tomorrow.

Recommended bet 3pts win

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